Five Ways to Improve Your Decision-Making and Grow Your Business
By Gregg Clark, [email protected]
Operating for nearly a century, a global retailer had enjoyed years of healthy sales, even through much of the financial downturn. But as the economic volatility continued, commodity prices rose and consumer habits shifted, the retailer faced unprecedented cost pressures that were compromising its competitive position in the market. A change at the leadership level was placing an additional strain on management to show accelerated performance improvements that would boost margins and satisfy restless shareholders.
The company was already collecting reams of data on its financial and operational activity, as well as its consumers. However, it had no idea how to use the information to make strategic, effective and timely decisions. The company was unable to turn its information into insights that could systematically link strategy, planning, execution and reporting. Instead, it had to rely on a combination of instinct and experience, supported by ad hoc analysis.
The situation this retailer faced was not unique. In a recent survey Ernst & Young commissioned of 285 senior executives globally from the consumer products and retail sector, 81% of executives who participated said they needed to improve their decision-making speed and level of insight. In particular, executives expressed that they were frustrated by the inability to get the level of insight they needed, and that the information they did receive was financially focused and to detailed. They also found that strategy, planning, resource allocation and reporting were not sufficiently linked. As a result, their organizations were making decisions based on intuition and not fact.
Retailers today are collecting more data than they ever before thought possible. Real-time retailer information, geo-positioning data from consumer smartphones, vast amounts of social media data all have to be managed and analyzed to drive insights and value for the business. Many companies have invested heavily in technology to collect the data, but then don’t know how to take it to the next level. Even companies with rigorous analysis capabilities find that their analytical methods are often not well-understood by decision-makers and don’t connect quickly enough with the organization.
Traditional approaches to decision-making tend to focus on financial statement line items and ad hoc reporting. However, without knowing the external and operational drivers, companies don’t have enough information to make fully informed decisions.
To improve their performance management capabilities and drive profitable growth, companies need to take a comprehensive approach that not only implements driver analytics, but also uses the analytics to logically link business strategies with the market, competitor, operational and financial forces that drive value and, by extension, good decision-making.
Here are five actions retail companies can take to improve their decision-making:
1. Define the value drivers. These can include market, competitor, operational and financial drivers. Drivers need to be quantified and linked to outcome metrics and other drivers. Logically tying outcome metrics to drivers creates a strong foundation for planning, reporting and decision-making.
2. Automate variance analyses to reveal root causes. These types of analyses focus on looking at the issues that lie beneath the surface, revealing root causes that may otherwise go unnoticed. For example, a driver-based analysis may determine that a revenue decline is the result of a unit decline rather than price. The unit decline comes from a smaller market size, but the company’s market share has exceeded plan. Knowing the root cause means the company can focus its strategic efforts on understanding the decline in market size rather than tactically adjusting its price to drive increased revenues.
3. Conduct “what if” scenarios. What if scenarios and sensitivity analyses can improve both strategic and tactical decision-making. Using the value drivers defined earlier, companies can conduct fact-based evaluations of business alternatives, and run risk-specific scenarios.
4. Simplify decision support and analysis. Traditional approaches make decision-making complicated because they require several layers of management to conduct ad hoc analysis and apply personal judgment. Driver insights simplify decision-making by creating a consistent structure and basing decisions on fact, not intuition.
5. Know the culture. How big and how far a company can go in transforming its performance management program ultimately depends on the company’s culture. To be successful, companies need to understand their culture’s ability to embrace change, how implementing decision-making rooted in driver analytics will be supported within the organization, and the steps necessary to link the culture shift back to strategy.
Companies may understand the forces that drive value, but too often they underestimate the level of effort required to consistently correlate the impact of the most significant drivers across product, channel, geography, market segment or business unity. And few ultimately understand the cascading effect this impact can have across the company.
However, when the drivers behind decision-making become embedded in the culture, companies can gain greater visibility into what is driving the business, and by extension improve the quality of their decision-making. Companies waste less time and money on collecting, formatting and analyzing distracting and often irrelevant data points.
As retail companies enter new, highly competitive markets, the ability to make smart strategic decisions faster has become a critical business imperative. Companies flexible enough to make these quick decisions are more likely to succeed in today’s fast-paced, volatile environment.
Gregg Clark is a principal in the Advisory Services practice of Ernst & Young LLP and the America’s Leader of Ernst & Young’s Advisory Consumer Products and Retail practice. Gregg brings deep functional experience in mergers and acquisitions, customer relationship management (crm), e-business and business transformation issues. He can be reached at [email protected]. Follow Gregg on Twitter: Twitter.com/GreggClarkEY.
The views expressed herein are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Ernst & Young LLP.
Walmart still a ‘buy’ near all-time high
A Web site affiliated with noted television investment pundit Jim Cramer has reiterated its buy recommendation on shares of Walmart.
TheStreet.com rated Walmart A+ and said the company’s strengths can be seen in areas such as revenue growth, notable return on equity, solid stock price performance, growth in earnings per share and net income.
"We feel these strengths outweigh the fact that the company shows weak operating cash flow," according to the TheStreet.
The organization also offered the disclaimer that, "TheStreet ratings do not represent the views of TheStreet’s staff or its contributors. Ratings are established by computer based on metrics for performance (which includes growth, stock performance, efficiency and valuation) and risk (volatility and solvency). Companies with poor cash flow or high debt levels tend to earn lower ratings in our model."
To read more about why TheStreet likes Walmart click here.
PepsiCo encouraged by Q1 results
PURCHASE, N.Y. — PepsiCo reported a net revenue increase of 1% to $12,581 billion from $12,428 billion for the period ended March 23. Its net income declined by slightly more than 1 billion to $1,085 billion from $1,133 billion.
However, on a constant currency basis, revenue increased 4%.
"We’re greatly encouraged by the strong start to 2013. We delivered solid organic revenue growth and double-digit core EPS growth in the first quarter, driven by our balanced food and beverage product and global geographic portfolio. Our investments in creating this portfolio are paying off and our brand and innovation strategies are driving sustainable top-line growth," said chairman and CEO Indra Nooyi.
The company said revenue growth was driven by balanced volume growth and effective net pricing. Structural changes, primarily refranchising in China, negatively impacted reported net revenue performance by 3% points and foreign exchange translation had a 0.5-%-point unfavorable impact in the quarter.
"Importantly, we’re laser focused on ramping up the effectiveness and efficiency of every aspect of our operating system, from procurement to manufacturing to selling and distribution. For the full year 2013, we expect to deliver approximately $900 million in productivity savings as part of our three-year, $3 billion productivity program, which will fund future growth investments and further enhance our operating margins. And, we’ve already begun to identify the next tranche of productivity savings to extend beyond our current program. We are squarely on track to deliver on our financial commitments for 2013, and remain committed to acting with urgency and intensity to create long-term value for our shareholders," added Nooyi.
PepsiCo Americas Foods revenue on a constant currency basis grew 6% in the quarter driven by revenue growth in all divisions, including Frito-Lay North America, Quaker Foods North America and Latin America Foods. Reported net revenue increased 5% in the quarter.