Macy’s profit beats Street; forecast tops views
Cincinnati — Macy’s earned a better-than-expected $730 million in the fourth quarter, compared with $745 million a year earlier when it booked one-time gains from the sale of store leases. The department store retailer forecast an annual profit for the recently completed year that surpassed analysts’ estimates and provided new guidance for continued growth and progress for 2013.
“Going into 2013, our team is moving ahead with new plans and actions to sharpen our approach to localized merchandise assortments and marketing, which we continue to believe is Macy’s sustainable competitive advantage,” said Macy’s chairman, president and CEO Terry Lundgren. “We are accelerating progress in omni-channel strategies at Macy’s and Bloomingdale’s to bring together our efforts in stores, online and mobile in a manner that satisfies emerging shopping patterns and capitalizes on the strength of our inventory regardless of where the customer demand occurs.”
Sales in the quarter ended February 2, 2013, rose 7.2% to $9.35 billion from $8.72 billion. Same- store sales rose 3.9%, helped by a 48% surge in online sales.
For the full year, Macy’s sales totaled $27.686 billion, up 4.9% from the previous year. 2011. On a same-store basis, sales were up 3.7%, better than the chain’s initial guidance.
Online sales (macys.com and bloomingdales.com combined) were up 47.7% in the fourth quarter and 41% for the year. Online sales are included in the same-store sales calculation for Macy’s.
BDO survey: Retail CFOs bullish about M&A, IPO activity in 2013
Chicago — The retail industry is poised for another year of heavy deal flow. Nearly all retail CFOs (94%) expect merger and acquisition will increase or remain steady in 2013, according to a new survey from BDO USA.
The bullish forecasts follow $324.6 billion in global retail and consumer M&A activity in 2012, which was up 33% over 2011 and the busiest year since 2007, according to Dealogic. A majority of CFOs (68%) expect the U.S. markets to see a majority of deal volume, followed by the Asia-Pacific market (20%) and Latin America market (7%).
Retail CFOs also forecast robust IPO activity in 2013. Following 13 U.S. retail public offerings in 2012 (according to Intrepid Investment Bankers), 83% of CFOs expect to see more or about the same number of retail IPOs this year. When asked what the biggest driver of a company’s ability to go public in 2013 is, CFOs point to the strength of the U.S. economy and stock market (42%), as well as strength of brand (24%) as top factors.
“In terms of overall M&A transactions, we’ve seen the fastest start to the year since 2005, and retail looks to be a bright spot for deal-making this year,” said Stephen Wyss, partner in the Retail and Consumer Products practice at BDO USA. “Steadier markets, renewed interest in international growth and the desire for omni-channel capabilities are fueling the investment rebound in retail and consumer businesses.”
Other major findings of the 2013 BDO Retail Compass Survey of CFOs:
E-commerce sector to drive IPO activity. Two-thirds of retail CFOs think e-commerce will see the most IPO activity in 2013, and a few companies have already taken strides to go public this year by hiring experienced executives and focusing on profitability and predictability of financials. Outside of e-commerce, successful IPOs from Bloomin’ Brands, Chuy’s and Del Frisco’s last year are likely influencing the 22% of retail CFOs who expect the food & beverage and restaurant categories to see the most IPOs in 2013.
Retailers give slight edge to strategic buyers. While deal flow in 2012 was driven by both financial and strategic buyers, CFOs are more bullish on strategic deals in 2013. With retailers looking to grow omni-channel capabilities and reach new markets overseas through acquisitions, 59% of CFOs say strategic buyers will be the primary driver of M&A activity. Still, private equity has been playing an important role, fueling many of the restaurant deals in particular, and 41% of CFOs say financial buyers will be the biggest driver of deals this year. CFOs expect to see an EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization) multiple of 5.2 on average for an acquisition in the retail and consumer product space.
"Private equity investments in the retail and consumer products sector have waned in recent years as retailers worked to navigate the ebb and flow of consumer spending," said Lee Duran, partner and Private Equity practice leader at BDO. "Still, many private equity funds continue to find compelling investment opportunities in the sector, providing capital to companies with strong value propositions to fuel their expansion into new merchandising channels and markets overseas."
Sales and EBITDA are priority financial metrics. Fifty-three percent of retail CFOs say sales are their primary financial metric. Over one-third (35%) say they are most focused on gross sales and 18% say they are most focused on comparable store sales. Another 33% say they are most focused on EBITDA, a leading indicator of recurring cash flows.
E-commerce satisfaction continues to grow
ANN ARBOR, Mich. — According to the American Customer Satisfaction Index’s (ACSI) annual E-Commerce Report, produced in partnership with customer experience analytics firm ForeSee, customer satisfaction with e-commerce websites continues to rise, gaining 1.2% to 81.1 on the ACSI’s 100-point scale.
"Just as we have seen in the public sector, consumers enjoy the convenience and power of e-commerce and online transactions. E-commerce is maturing, and even the smaller companies are improving, keeping up with or sometimes surpassing larger, more established companies," said Claes Fornell, ACSI founder and professor at the University of Michigan’s Ross School of Business. "The e-commerce landscape changes faster than more traditional industries, and the rules can be rewritten by new players or new technologies, like mobile. Disruption will always be a part of e-commerce, but innovation will likely keep the sector near the top in customer satisfaction."
Online retail increases 1.2% to an ACSI score of 82, outperforming the brick-and-mortar retail trade sector (76.6) by a wide margin. Amazon continues to the lead the industry (and tops all measured e-commerce companies in this month’s Index) despite a 1% drop to 85. The "all others" category, which is an aggregate of e-retailers and other companies not individually measured, jumps 3% to 82. The "all others" category contains many e-retail websites that also have a brick-and-mortar presence.
"Brick-and-mortar retailers are not conceding the Internet to online natives such as Amazon," said Larry Freed, president and CEO of ForeSee. "They are investing heavily resources in providing a better experience for their customers, providing more evidence that competition is good for the consumer."